Serial SOFA-score trends in ICU-admitted COVID-19 patients as predictor of 28-day mortality: A prospective cohort study.

Background and Aim: The efficacy of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score as predictor of clinical outcomes among ICU-admitted COVID-19 patients is still controversial. We aimed to assess whether SOFA-score in different time intervals could predict 28-day mortality compared with other well-acknowledged risk factors of COVID-19 mortality. Methods: This observational prospective cohort was conducted on 1057 patients from March 2020 to March 2022 at Masih Daneshvari Hospital, Iran. The univariate and multivariate Cox proportional analysis were performed to assess the hazards of SOFA-score models. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were designed to estimate the predictive values. Results: Mean SOFA-score during first 96 h (HR: 3.82 [CI: 2.75-5.31]), highest SOFA-score (HR: 2.70 [CI: 1.93-3.78]), and initial SOFA-score (HR: 1.65 [CI: 1.30-2.11]) had strongest association with 28-day mortality (p < .0001). In contrast, SOFA scores at 48 and 96 h as well as Δ-SOFA: 48-0 h and Δ-SOFA: 96-0 h did not show significant correlations. Among them, merely mean SOFA-score (HR: 2.28 [CI: 2.21-3.51]; p < .001) remained as independent prognosticator on multivariate regression analysis; though having less odds of predicting value compared with age (HR: 3.81 [CI: 1.98-5.21]), hypertension (HR: 3.11 [CI: 1.26-3.81]), coronary artery disease [CAD] (HR: 2.82 [CI: 1.51-4.8]), and diabetes mellitus (HR: 2.45 [CI: 1.36-2.99]). The area under ROC (AUROC) for mean SOFA-score (0.77) and highest SOFA-score (0.71) were larger than other SOFA intervals. Calculating the first 96 h of SOFA trends, it was obtained that fatality rate was <12.3% if the score dropped, between 28.8% and 46.29% if the score remained unchanged, and >50.45% if the score increased. Conclusion: To predict the 28-day mortality among ICU-admitted COVID-19 patients, mean SOFA upon first 96 h of ICU stay is reliable; while having inadequate accuracy comparing with well-acknowledged COVID-19 mortality predictors (age, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, CAD). Notably, increased SOFA levels in the course of first 96 h of ICU-admission, prognosticate at least 50% fatality regardless of initial SOFA score.

Lower limb arterial thrombosis followed by sub-massive pulmonary thromboembolism after Sinopharm BBIBP-CorV COVID-19 vaccination.

The global COVID-19 vaccination had an undeniable influence on the pandemic management, despite of having reported rare but life-threatening side-effects of vaccines. Vaccine-induced immune thrombotic thrombocytopenia (VITT) is a rare autoimmune complication determined by thrombocytopenia and thrombosis propensity in the circulatory system. The activation of antibodies against platelet factor-4 (PF-4) which mimics the heparin-induced thrombocytopenia (HIT) characteristic is the main known pathogenicity of the disease. Herein, we reported a case of VITT in a middle-aged woman with no previous history of thrombophilia or other medical conditions who presented with thrombosis of the left superficial femoral artery 3-days after receiving the second dose of inactivated BBIBP-CorV (Sinopharm) vaccine. The patient underwent bypass vascular surgery and received none-heparin anticoagulation consistent with high-dose intravenous immunoglobin. Eight days after the discharge, she was subsequently referred to our center with the presentation of sub-massive pulmonary thromboembolism in spite of receiving the prophylactic anticoagulants during follow-up period. Details on side-effects of COVID-19 vaccines, specifically the inactivated ones are yet to be fully ascertained. Clinicians should consider the history of COVID-19 vaccines in thromboembolism patients who do not have well-acknowledged risk factors. Further studies about the necessity of prophylactic anticoagulants and clinical judgment for receiving other vaccines in such patients are required.

Risk factors, thromboembolic events, and clinical course of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation among COVID-19 hospitalized patients: A multicenter cross-sectional analysis in Iran.

Background and Aims: We focused on determining the risk factors, thromboembolic events, and clinical course of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation (NOAF) among hospitalized coronavirus disease (COVID-19) patients. Methods: This retrospective study was conducted in the major referral centers in Tehran, Iran. Of 1764 patients enrolled in the study from January 2020 until July 2021, 147 had NOAF, and 1617 had normal sinus rhythm. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regressions were employed accordingly to evaluate NOAF risk factors. The statistical assessments have been run utilizing SPSS 25.0 (SPSS) or R 3.6.3 software. Results: For the NOAF patients, the age was significantly higher, and the more prevalent comorbidities were metabolic syndrome, heart failure (HF), peripheral vascular disease, coronary artery disease, and liver cirrhosis. The multivariate analysis showed the established independent risk factors were; Troponin-I (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.86; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.89-7.87; p < 0.001), HF (HR = 2.54; 95% CI = 1.61-4.02; p < 0.001), bilateral grand-glass opacification (HR = 2.26; 95% CI = 1.68-3.05; p = 0.002). For cases with thromboembolic events, NOAF was the most important prognostic factor (odds ratio [OR] = 2.97; 95% CI = 2.03-4.33; p < 0.001). While evaluating the diagnostic ability of prognostic factors in detecting NOAF, Troponin-I (Area under the curve [AUC] = 0.85), C-Reactive Protein (AUC = 0.72), and d-dimer (AUC = 0.65) had the most accurate sensitivity. Furthermore, the Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that the survival rates diminished more steeply for patients with NOAF history. Conclusion: In hospitalized COVID-19 patients with NOAF, the risk of thromboembolic events, hospital stay, and fatality are significantly higher. The established risk factors showed that patients with older age, higher inflammation states, and more severe clinical conditions based on CHADS2VASC-score potentially need subsequent preventive strategies. Appropriate prophylactic anticoagulants, Initial management of cytokine storm, sufficient oxygen support, and reducing viral shedding could be of assistance in such patients.

Risk factors, thromboembolic events, and clinical course of New‐Onset Atrial Fibrillation among COVID‐19 hospitalized patients: A multicenter cross‐sectional analysis in Iran

Background and Aims We focused on determining the risk factors, thromboembolic events, and clinical course of New‐Onset Atrial Fibrillation (NOAF) among hospitalized coronavirus disease (COVID‐19) patients. Methods This retrospective study was conducted in the major referral centers in Tehran, Iran. Of 1764 patients enrolled in the study from January 2020 until July 2021, 147 had NOAF, and 1617 had normal sinus rhythm. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regressions were employed accordingly to evaluate NOAF risk factors. The statistical assessments have been run utilizing SPSS 25.0 (SPSS) or R 3.6.3 software. Results For the NOAF patients, the age was significantly higher, and the more prevalent comorbidities were metabolic syndrome, heart failure (HF), peripheral vascular disease, coronary artery disease, and liver cirrhosis. The multivariate analysis showed the established independent risk factors were;Troponin‐I (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.86;95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.89−7.87;p < 0.001), HF (HR = 2.54;95% CI = 1.61−4.02;p < 0.001), bilateral grand‐glass opacification (HR = 2.26;95% CI = 1.68−3.05;p = 0.002). For cases with thromboembolic events, NOAF was the most important prognostic factor (odds ratio [OR] = 2.97;95% CI = 2.03−4.33;p < 0.001). While evaluating the diagnostic ability of prognostic factors in detecting NOAF, Troponin‐I (Area under the curve [AUC] = 0.85), C‐Reactive Protein (AUC = 0.72), and d‐dimer (AUC = 0.65) had the most accurate sensitivity. Furthermore, the Kaplan‐Meier curves demonstrated that the survival rates diminished more steeply for patients with NOAF history. Conclusion In hospitalized COVID‐19 patients with NOAF, the risk of thromboembolic events, hospital stay, and fatality are significantly higher. The established risk factors showed that patients with older age, higher inflammation states, and more severe clinical conditions based on CHADS2VASC‐score potentially need subsequent preventive strategies. Appropriate prophylactic anticoagulants, Initial management of cytokine storm, sufficient oxygen support, and reducing viral shedding could be of assistance in such patients.

The impact of metabolic syndrome on morbidity and mortality among intensive care unit admitted COVID-19 patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Given the limited information describing the connection between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), we aimed to assess the impact of MetS on morbidity and mortality among COVID-19 patients. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was performed from 1st April to May 3, 2020 on 157 ICU-admitted COVID-19 patients in Shahid Modarres Hospital in Tehran, Iran. Patients' clinical, laboratory and radiological findings, and subsequent complications, were collected and compared between MetS and non-MetS groups. RESULTS: 74 of all cases had MetS. Among the MetS components, waist circumference (p-value = 0.006 for men; p-value<0.0001 for women), Triglycerides (p-value = 0.002), and Fasting Blood Sugar (p-value = 0.007) were significantly higher in MetS group; with no statistical difference found in HDL levels (p-value = 0.21 for men; p-value = 0.13 for women), systolic blood pressure(p-value = 0.07), and diastolic blood pressure (p-value = 0.18) between two groups. Length of ICU admission (p-value = 0.009), the need for invasive mechanical ventilation (p-value = 0.0001), respiratory failure (p-value = 0.0008), and pressure ulcers (p-value = 0.02) were observed significantly more in MetS group. The Odds Ratio (OR) of mortality with 0(OR = 0.3660), 1(OR = 0.5155), 2(OR = 0.5397), 3(OR = 1.9511), 4(OR = 5.7018), and 5(OR = 8.3740) MetS components showed an increased mortality risk as the components' count increased. The patient with BMI>40 (OR = 6.9368) had more odds of fatality comparing to those with BMI>35 (OR = 4.0690) and BMI>30 (OR = 2.5287). Furthermore, the waist circumference (OR = 8.31; p-value<0.0001) and fasting blood sugar (OR = 2.4588; p-value = 0.0245) were obtained by multivariate logistic regression as independent prognostic factors for mortality. CONCLUSION: The findings suggest a strong relationship between having MetS and increased risk of severe complications and mortality among COVID-19 ICU-admitted patients.

Mortality Risk Factors among Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients in a Major Referral Center in Iran.

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has killed many people worldwide since December 2019, and Iran has been among the most affected countries. In this retrospective study, we aimed to determine the prognostic factors associated with mortality in COVID-19 patients by analyzing 396 survived and 63 non-survived patients in Shahid Modarres Hospital, Tehran, Iran, from January 30th until April 5th, 2020. As the results, the BMI > 35 (p = 0.0003), lung cancer (p = 0.007), chronic kidney disease (p = 0.002), Immunocompromised condition (p = 0.003), and diabetes (p = 0.018) were more frequently observed in the expired group. The history of statins use was more common in the discharged group (p = 0.002), while there was no significant difference in the drug history of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin II receptor blockers, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, aspirin, and/or steroids, and in the past-year influenza vaccination. Multivariable regression demonstrated rising odds of in-hospital death related with age (odds ratio (OR) = 1.055, p = 0.002), levels of C-reactive protein (CRP) (OR = 2.915, p < 0.001), creatinine (OR = 1.740, p = 0.023), lymphocyte count (OR = 0.999, p = 0.008), and magnesium level (OR = 0.032, p < 0.001) on admission. In conclusion, the patients with older age and higher BMI with lymphopenia, hypomagnesemia, elevated CRP and/or raised creatinine on admission are at higher risk of mortality due to the COVID-19 infection, which requires the physicians to use timely and strong therapeutic measures for such patients.